Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1358.437956 1553.183229 1772.223175 2038.038808 2353.488198 2717.842809 3173.364279
2025-07-20 1069.918098 1322.719651 1635.606675 2056.292001 2614.738647 3341.539960 4377.303969
2025-07-27 930.347919 1208.413633 1574.349990 2100.821044 2855.118044 3922.857695 5597.464117
2025-08-03 828.531287 1119.155613 1520.895706 2131.798255 3064.792726 4484.246043 6907.401057
2025-08-10 763.497443 1067.008853 1505.042344 2204.885093 3337.665817 5180.672182 8592.615024
2025-08-17 700.711748 1007.795471 1467.534805 2234.102290 3539.919064 5796.259876 10297.185838
2025-08-24 644.511886 950.445634 1423.429449 2242.594569 3703.872938 6372.533551 12083.749686
2025-08-31 597.480901 901.227507 1384.758455 2251.961027 3866.972893 6975.522757 14098.423320
2025-09-07 562.687701 867.240183 1365.843226 2290.917028 4088.223705 7734.356526 16693.894142
2025-09-14 513.588677 804.730811 1291.771892 2219.512787 4083.021061 8025.406374 18280.617747
2025-09-21 471.766119 750.492345 1226.141175 2154.675722 4079.104596 8316.378638 19964.950908
2025-09-28 433.626473 699.225441 1160.639909 2081.575769 4045.574949 8532.569555 21525.227740
2025-10-05 419.789908 690.181657 1172.158226 2165.617771 4375.099860 9708.397119 26422.435141
2025-10-12 398.886901 666.866204 1155.290791 2190.780867 4580.889162 10642.879236 31077.581403
2025-10-19 382.765131 650.595052 1149.679855 2238.119241 4847.122093 11811.271419 37170.169172
2025-10-26 366.496884 632.528146 1138.540481 2271.656858 5086.510166 12978.306109 43984.056598
2025-11-02 356.302114 624.964685 1147.270996 2350.576528 5458.118976 14656.183679 54046.402695
2025-11-09 342.156710 608.522522 1136.183171 2382.144069 5711.304290 16053.533247 63978.771706
2025-11-16 327.091927 589.029409 1116.804215 2391.320027 5905.201508 17325.545491 74398.090092
2025-11-23 313.312482 571.009751 1098.806301 2401.441468 6104.871656 18693.808567 86636.115766
2025-11-30 303.170931 559.555035 1093.847761 2443.544657 6410.013527 20571.944529 103901.154478
2025-12-07 284.525540 529.274744 1044.853958 2366.380749 6332.145124 20943.317389 111914.513134
2025-12-14 267.839521 502.014011 1000.485826 2296.348309 6265.367685 21348.669689 120744.236590